Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

[metroames]

000
WONT41 KNHC 100329
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES EAST OF PUERTO RICO REMAINS
FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...BUT SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT DEVELOPED A CLOSED
CIRCULATION YET. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH
AND IS PRODUCING HEAVY SQUALLS WITH GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTH
OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM
COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...
AND THE EASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FURTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS
NECESSARY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...CONSULT
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIADSAAT+shtml/100329.shtml?

Hurricane season officially ended Nov 30th. :twitch This kind of thing is very rare this late in the season. It will be interesting to watch.

[Beautiful Feet]

Personally, I hope this thing goes out to sea or simply dissipates.

Although it is not completely unheard of to have a hurricane this late in the season, this would certainly be a rare event if it turns into one.
With the Annapolis conference and other events, I will have a wary eye on it.

I have not jumped on the "God will judge the U.S. if we do such and such" bandwagon. But I have read enough of the Scriptures to know that I cannot take a hard line either way.

Sometimes God uses nature to send a message. It will be interesting to see what happens.

[heybales219]

Personally, I hope this thing goes out to sea or simply dissipates.

Personally, I hope it becomes nothing more than a rainmaker and sits on top of Georgia for about a week.

[light4mypath]

Olga has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 200 miles.
Link to Article (http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gVWjsPEiqe1tEu2mhBIRaxxGi8owD8TF5P680)

[zhan]

A *lot* of people in the south are desperate for rain. I also hope it turns into a rain maker and soaks the area.

[Aneriz]

It soaked Puerto Rico causing floods and a electric power failure. Very strange to have such a storm in December.

[AllforHim]

Personally, I hope it becomes nothing more than a rainmaker and sits on top of Georgia for about a week.

:hug suits me!! :pray

[Justdust]

What's it doing now.....anything?

[metroames]

What's it doing now.....anything?

000
WTNT42 KNHC 130233
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007
1000 PM EST WED DEC 12 2007

ONCE AGAIN...I HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO TERMINATE ANOTHER TROPICAL
CYCLONE THIS SEASON. SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR FROM PILON CUBA
SHOW THAT THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING LESS DEFINED.
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL ESTABLISHED...BUT THERE HAS NOT
BEEN ANY SIGNIFICANT PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS OR
SO. THE CYCLONE IS INITIALIZED AS A 25-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW VERY SOON...PERHAPS AS WE SPEAK.
THERE IS ALWAYS A CHANCE THAT SOME CONVECTION REDEVELOPS
INTERMITTENTLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS THE REMNANT LOW
MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ACROSS THE WARM WATERS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO STRONG TO ALLOW REINTENSIFICATION...FAMOUS LAST WORDS. THE
LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME ABSORBED BY AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IN 3
DAYS OR SO OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OLGA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/0300Z 18.9N 77.6W 25 KT
12HR VT 13/1200Z 19.0N 80.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 14/0000Z 19.0N 82.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 14/1200Z 19.5N 83.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 15/0000Z 20.0N 85.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 16/0000Z 22.0N 86.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/130233.shtml?

LOL, he doesn't sound too sure. :pound I took a look at the models and it does look like it gets caught up in the cold front moving off the southeast US in a couple days as the forecaster here mentioned. Florida might get some rain from it, but the rest of the southeast won't. It'll be interesting to see if the warm water temps reintensify the storm despite the forecast shear aloft. Tropical systems are so fun to forecast *sarcasm*. :heh

Amy

[SherShalom]

Hope we get some rain here in Central Florida. Haven't had a drop since October. :pray