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View Full Version : Oil Falls Below $122 on Worries Over U.S. Demand


RWSchilz
July 30th, 2008, 03:04 PM
Oil prices fell below $122 a barrel on Wednesday, extending their recent decline on expectations that this year's surge in energy costs is undermining U.S. gasoline demand.


The modest, but continued strengthening of the U.S. dollar also helped push down oil prices. By midafternoon in Europe, light, sweet crude for September delivery had shed 79 cents to $121.40 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract dropped $2.54 to settle at $122.19 a barrel on Tuesday.


Investors expect more evidence of falling gasoline consumption when the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration releases its weekly oil inventory report later Wednesday, said Mark Pervan, a senior commodities strategist with ANZ Bank in Melbourne.


"People are looking closely at the deteriorating demand for petrol," Pervan said. "The market will probably fence-sit ... ahead of the DOE numbers." Gasoline stocks were expected to rise 400,000 barrels in the petroleum supply report, according to the average of analysts' estimates in a survey by energy research firm Platts.


Crude futures have sharply fallen over the past 19 days. The price of oil has dropped in seven of the last 10 sessions, and is down about 17 percent from its peak above $147 a barrel earlier this month. Prices remain about 60 percent higher than at this time last year.

http://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/oil_prices/2008/07/30/117474.html

What is missing from this story is the reason demand is falling, high gas prices have driven allot of people and businesses out of the market. Example; Airlines, delivery services and lower income people have been forced to cut services or simply quit driving all together. At the same time oil producers are trying to get as much product to market as possible to cash in on the high price per barrel. As price falls consumers will begin to buy again at the lower price this will help those in the futures market to sell off what they have left at the highest possible price. Eventually the push to market will end and the demand will over take supply starting the cycle all over again. What would be great is while the push to market is taking place we as consumers continue to cut back that would help to drive the price at the pump even lower. The problem with that is the consumers are all the people of the world, 6.5 billion of us.:shocked:scratch:thinking

Ali Kat
July 30th, 2008, 04:19 PM
Okay, might be totally off here, but I also think that those of us that have SUV are not driving them as much, which might be making a difference. Or not. I know that many of my friends either have traded in their gas guzzlers, are driving less, or driving another family car that is more fuel efficient. Lots of people making little changes can make a big difference. Whether prices fall or not, I am trading in my Expedition (12 mpg) for something more fuel efficient. Also, we drive dh's car (a Impala) everywhere now b/c it is so economical. Sometimes my car doesn't move for days. I have several friends and family members in the same position and their SUVs sit for days too.

No2Flesh
July 30th, 2008, 04:26 PM
Bring it on, more.

Gas was killing us, ever penny on gas is a dollar per month more in our pocket.
Thats $20+ in the last week or 2.
Im glad I no longer have my F150, 18 mpg at best.

Tall Timbers
July 30th, 2008, 04:58 PM
I think we're just beginning to see the decrease in demand. People globally are hurting if they're not being subsidized. People are just beginning to practice conservation in ways they find they can. A few pennies off per gallon isn't going to bring demand back, prices are way beyond sustainable reality.

Don't think we'll see $40 per barrel, but we might if market forces determined the price of oil. OPEC will cut output and keep supplies tight, and consumption will likely continue to fall due to a variety of reasons that all lead to the one reality that inflation is out of control and people will continue to hurt for a long time to come.

saved by Grace
July 30th, 2008, 06:42 PM
I think we're just beginning to see the decrease in demand. People globally are hurting if they're not being subsidized. People are just beginning to practice conservation in ways they find they can. A few pennies off per gallon isn't going to bring demand back, prices are way beyond sustainable reality.

Don't think we'll see $40 per barrel, but we might if market forces determined the price of oil. OPEC will cut output and keep supplies tight, and consumption will likely continue to fall due to a variety of reasons that all lead to the one reality that inflation is out of control and people will continue to hurt for a long time to come.
i agree.i hope that it can happen though.