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BornAgain123
September 14th, 2008, 06:44 PM
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2008-09/12/content_7020656.htm

China may cut its dollar holdings

China, which holds a fifth of its currency reserves in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt, may cut the portion held in US dollars, according to China International Capital Corp (CICC), one of the nation's biggest investment banks.

The US government this week seized control of the two mortgage-finance companies, which account for almost half of the home-loan market in the world's biggest economy, to prevent defaults from crippling them. China holds up to $400 billion in the two firms' debt, CICC Chief Economist Ha Jiming said in a report Thursday.

"The crisis has made Chinese officials realize it's a bad idea to put all their eggs in one basket," wrote Hong Kong-based Ha. "This will likely lead to greater diversification of foreign exchange reserve investments."

China held $447.5 billion of US agency bonds as of June 2008, according to the CICC calculations using disclosures by the US Treasury. It is likely to reduce the portion of reserves in dollar assets from the current 60 percent by purchasing more non-dollar assets with new reserves, he said.

Countries in Asia have stockpiled foreign exchange reserves since the 1997-98 financial crisis to act as a cushion against a run on their exchange rates. That in turn has increased pressure on policymakers to ensure higher returns from more than $4 trillion in assets.

China will expand its investments in corporate bonds and equities, according to Ha. Treasury and agency bonds account for 50 percent and 40 percent of total dollar assets held by the central bank, he wrote.

Dodi
September 14th, 2008, 09:10 PM
What will this cause for us?

Issachar
September 14th, 2008, 09:28 PM
This is only a very small part of the whole consequence, but my understanding, being small as it is, is this: The central bankers (Federal Reserve in the U.S.) make a lot of money out of thin air. This of course, devalues the USD. More are needed to buy the same amount of stuff; inflation. The central bankers have been on a drive to make thin air money like there is no tomorrow, for at least the past 10 years. This should result in higher prices which, until the past year or so, haven't happened. I think that the reason we haven't seen proportional price increases in relation to the money supply increases, is because countries like China have been "soaking them up" so to speak. If they "wring out the sponge" (i.e. drop USD's) then there will be a flood of them on the world markets and price inflation will increase. I think dramatically.

We'll see.

Issachar

SumSam
September 15th, 2008, 12:57 AM
The positive thing out of all this would be if manufacturing again became viable in the US after the dollar drops sharply in value. Remember that China has kept the yaun artificially low against the dollar all these years.

Plus Walmart's cost advantages based on cheap Asian imports will likely go out the window.

This may turn out a blessing in disguise long term. If there is a long term. ;)

BlessedAssurance
September 16th, 2008, 09:08 AM
This is only a very small part of the whole consequence, but my understanding, being small as it is, is this: The central bankers (Federal Reserve in the U.S.) make a lot of money out of thin air. This of course, devalues the USD. More are needed to buy the same amount of stuff; inflation. The central bankers have been on a drive to make thin air money like there is no tomorrow, for at least the past 10 years. This should result in higher prices which, until the past year or so, haven't happened. I think that the reason we haven't seen proportional price increases in relation to the money supply increases, is because countries like China have been "soaking them up" so to speak. If they "wring out the sponge" (i.e. drop USD's) then there will be a flood of them on the world markets and price inflation will increase. I think dramatically.

We'll see.

Issachar

Thank you. I don't have any economic background, and don't really understand how this economy works. I've tried, but you're about the only one I can understand!:hat